Aurora Forecast and Prediction for Macomb, Illinois

Aurora Visibility0Poor
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Kp: 0 | Bz: 4.98

Prediction0Little to None

Best Viewing Window: 6:52 PM – 6:47 AM CDT (11h 55m) · peak hours typically 11:02 PM – 3:02 AM

Bz 4.98 nT Aurora None Daytime Clear Skies · 0% Tonight 0 · Poor · Scattered 75% Prediction 0 · Little to None Waxing Crescent 6% Color Key
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Space Weather Now

Kp (now)
0
Forecast Kp (today)
5
Bz (nT)
4.98
HPI
7 Minimal · 13 GW
Dst (nT)
-15
Density (p/cc)
7.8
Speed (km/s)
537
Sky / Darkness
Clear Daytime
Sunspot Number
93

Timing: Tonight · Signal Strength: High

Webcam

No aurora cams nearby. Center on nearest camera (715 mi away).

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3-Day Forecast for Macomb, Illinois

Oct 13
Global: Active Macomb: Not expected

Kp 4 is short of the roughly Kp 7 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from Macomb.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 10:00 PM–1:00 AM CDT

35% chance of elevated activity · Kp 4 during viewing window

Oct 14
Global: Active Macomb: Not expected

Kp 3.3 is short of the roughly Kp 7 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from Macomb.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 10:00 PM–1:00 AM CDT

20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.33 during viewing window

Oct 15
Global: Forecast Pending

Global: This night's forecast isn't in NOAA's 3-day window yet - check back closer to the date.

This night's forecast isn't available yet - check back closer to the date.

Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun

Aurora Probability
LowHigh

Interactive Aurora Globe

North America Satellite

Satellite View

sunspots

Sunspots

Current sunspot number: 93

Coronal Mass Ejection

Coronal Mass Ejections

Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)

Bt
11.4 nT
Bx
3.4 nT
By
-9.6 nT
Bz
4.98 nT
Clock Angle θ
25.9°
Cone Angle φ
289.8°
Speed
537 km/s
Density
7.8 p/cc

IMF Detail (GSE) & Source

Bx
3.4 nT
By
-10.8 nT
Bz
0.3 nT
θ Angle
1.5°
φ Angle
287.5°
Satellite
SOLAR-1
Data Quality
Good
Reading Time
Oct 13, 10:00 AM CDT

Geomagnetic Indices

Kp (now)
0
Dst
-15 nT
HPI
7 GW
Sunspot Number
93

Aurora Model

Ovation Value
0
Ovation Label
None
Model Data Time
Oct 13, 10:44 AM CDT
Ovation Data
Live

Scores & Ratings

Aurora Visibility
0 · Poor
Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
0 · Poor
Prediction Score
0 · Little to None

Sky & Location

Cloud Cover
0% · Clear
Clouds, Next Dark Window
75% · Scattered · ×0.50
Aurora Visibility Tonight
0 · Poor (Outlook Tonight 0 × cloud 0.50)
Solar Elevation
29.1° · Daytime
Moon Phase
Waxing Crescent
Moon Illumination
6%
Moon Altitude
-3.9° · Below Horizon
Latitude
40.45921
Longitude
-90.6718
Geomagnetic Latitude
49.3°
Horizon Threshold
Kp 7
Overhead Threshold
Never

Prediction Model Inputs

Bz Persistence (60min)
7.3 nT
Newell Coupling
3854
Latitude Gate
0.00 now · 0.00 tonight (horizon Kp 7.4)
Dynamic Pressure
3.8 nPa
Storm Watch (CME)
~0h · G1 (Minor)
Watch Predicted Kp
5

Timing & Signal Strength

Timing
Tonight
Signal Strength
High
L1 Delay
~47 min
Magnetic Midnight
1:02 AM (peak hours 11:02 PM – 3:02 AM)
Best Viewing Window
6:52 PM – 6:47 AM CDT (11h 55m)

3-Day Kp Forecast

CDT Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15
7:00 PM–10:00 PM 4 3.67 2.67
10:00 PM–1:00 AM 4.67 4 3.33
1:00 AM–4:00 AM 5 2.67 3
4:00 AM–7:00 AM 4.33 3.67 2.33
7:00 AM–10:00 AM 4 3.67 1.67
10:00 AM–1:00 PM 3.67 3.67 1
1:00 PM–4:00 PM 3.33 3.33 1.33
4:00 PM–7:00 PM 2.67 2.67 2.33
Max 5 4 3.33
Ap Index 28 20 10

Storm Probability

Level Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15
Active 35% 35% 20%
Minor storm 35% 25% 5%
Moderate storm 15% 10% 1%
Strong-Extreme storm 5% 1% 1%

Planetary K-index

Oct 10
Oct 11
Oct 12
Oct 13
Now
Oct 12
Oct 13
Oct 14
Oct 15
Quiet (Kp 0-3) Unsettled (Kp 4) Minor-Moderate Storm (Kp 5-6) Strong+ Storm (Kp 7-9) Forecast (hatched)

Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz5 nT now

14 0 -12 Oct 12, 10 AM Oct 12, 4 PM Oct 12, 10 PM Oct 13, 4 AM Oct 13, 10 AM

Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.

Total IMF Field Bt11.4 nT now

18 0 Oct 12, 10 AM Oct 12, 4 PM Oct 12, 10 PM Oct 13, 4 AM Oct 13, 10 AM

Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.

Global Storm Trend18 global now

100 50 0 Oct 12, 10 AM Oct 12, 4 PM Oct 12, 10 PM Oct 13, 4 AM Oct 13, 10 AM

Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.

Dst History-15 nT now

27 0 -57 Oct 12, 10 AM Oct 12, 4 PM Oct 12, 10 PM Oct 13, 4 AM Oct 13, 10 AM

Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.

Solar Wind Speed & Pressure

Oct 12, 10 AM Oct 12, 4 PM Oct 12, 10 PM Oct 13, 4 AM Oct 13, 10 AM
Speed: 537 km/s now Pressure: 3.8 nPa now

Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.

Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.

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