Aurora Forecast and Prediction for Honolulu, Hawaii

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Aurora Visibility0Poor
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Kp: 0.67 | Bz: 1.79

Prediction0Little to None

Best Viewing Window: 12:26 AM – 6:06 AM HST (5h 40m) · peak hours typically 10:31 PM – 2:31 AM

Bz 1.79 nT Aurora None Dark Night Clear · 8% Prediction 0 · Little to None Waxing Crescent 5% Color Key
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Space Weather Now

Kp (now)
0.67
Forecast Kp (today)
5
Bz (nT)
1.79
HPI
12 Low · 24 GW
Dst (nT)
-12
Density (p/cc)
9.7
Speed (km/s)
488
Sky / Darkness
Clear Dark Night
Sunspot Number
93

Timing: Now · Signal Strength: High

Webcam

No aurora cams nearby. Center on nearest camera (2645 mi away).

Browse other webcams on Windy

3-Day Forecast for Honolulu, Hawaii

Oct 12
Global: Active Honolulu: Not visible

Too far south - the aurora stays out of view from Honolulu even during a severe (Kp 9) storm.

Global: NOAA has issued a watch for this night (see below) - moderate planetary activity, aurora across the high-latitude zone.

CME Watch: G1 (Minor) · Kp 5 expected

Best time to look up: 11:00 PM–2:00 AM HST

35% chance of elevated activity · Kp 4.33 during viewing window, up to Kp 5 depending on CME timing

Oct 13
Global: Active Honolulu: Not visible

Too far south - the aurora stays out of view from Honolulu even during a severe (Kp 9) storm.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 11:00 PM–2:00 AM HST

35% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.67 during viewing window

Oct 14
Global: Active Honolulu: Not visible

Too far south - the aurora stays out of view from Honolulu even during a severe (Kp 9) storm.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 5:00 PM–8:00 PM HST

20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.33 during viewing window

Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun

Aurora Probability
LowHigh

Interactive Aurora Globe

North America Satellite

Satellite View

sunspots

Sunspots

Current sunspot number: 93

Coronal Mass Ejection

Coronal Mass Ejections

Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)

Bt
9.4 nT
Bx
3.5 nT
By
-8.6 nT
Bz
1.79 nT
Clock Angle θ
7.8°
Cone Angle φ
292.1°
Speed
488 km/s
Density
9.7 p/cc

IMF Detail (GSE) & Source

Bx
3.5 nT
By
-8 nT
Bz
-3.4 nT
θ Angle
-21.2°
φ Angle
293.6°
Satellite
SOLAR-1
Data Quality
Good
Reading Time
Oct 13, 12:20 AM HST

Geomagnetic Indices

Kp (now)
0.67
Dst
-12 nT
HPI
12 GW
Sunspot Number
93

Aurora Model

Ovation Value
0
Ovation Label
None
Model Data Time
Oct 13, 1:10 AM HST
Ovation Data
Live

Scores & Ratings

Aurora Visibility
0 · Poor
Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
0 · Poor
Prediction Score
0 · Little to None

Sky & Location

Cloud Cover
8% · Clear
Clouds, Next Dark Window
8% · Clear · ×1.00
Aurora Visibility Tonight
0 · Poor (Outlook Tonight 0 × cloud 1.00)
Solar Elevation
-76.4° · Dark Night
Moon Phase
Waxing Crescent
Moon Illumination
5%
Moon Altitude
-63.2° · Below Horizon
Latitude
21.30694
Longitude
-157.85834
Geomagnetic Latitude
21.8°
Horizon Threshold
Never
Overhead Threshold
Never

Prediction Model Inputs

Bz Persistence (60min)
-0 nT
Newell Coupling
5012
Latitude Gate
0.00 now · 0.00 tonight
Dynamic Pressure
3.9 nPa
Storm Watch (CME)
~0h · G1 (Minor)
Watch Predicted Kp
5

Timing & Signal Strength

Timing
Now
Signal Strength
High
L1 Delay
~51 min
Magnetic Midnight
12:31 AM (peak hours 10:31 PM – 2:31 AM)
Best Viewing Window
12:26 AM – 6:06 AM HST (5h 40m)

3-Day Kp Forecast

HST Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15
2:00 PM–5:00 PM 4 3.67 2.67
5:00 PM–8:00 PM 4.67 4 3.33
8:00 PM–11:00 PM 5 2.67 3
11:00 PM–2:00 AM 4.33 3.67 2.33
2:00 AM–5:00 AM 4 3.67 1.67
5:00 AM–8:00 AM 3.67 3.67 1
8:00 AM–11:00 AM 3.33 3.33 1.33
11:00 AM–2:00 PM 2.67 2.67 2.33
Max 5 4 3.33
Ap Index 28 20 10

Storm Probability

Level Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15
Active 35% 35% 20%
Minor storm 35% 25% 5%
Moderate storm 15% 10% 1%
Strong-Extreme storm 5% 1% 1%

Planetary K-index

Oct 9
Oct 10
Oct 11
Oct 12
Now
Oct 13
Oct 14
Oct 15
Quiet (Kp 0-3) Unsettled (Kp 4) Minor-Moderate Storm (Kp 5-6) Strong+ Storm (Kp 7-9) Forecast (hatched)

Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz0.8 nT now

17 0 -12 Oct 12, 12 AM Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM

Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.

Total IMF Field Bt9.7 nT now

18 0 Oct 12, 12 AM Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM

Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.

Global Storm Trend24 global now

100 50 0 Oct 12, 12 AM Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM

Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.

Dst History-12 nT now

27 0 -57 Oct 12, 12 AM Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM

Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.

Solar Wind Speed & Pressure

Oct 12, 12 AM Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM
Speed: 488 km/s now Pressure: 3.9 nPa now

Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.

Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.

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