Aurora Forecast and Prediction for Iqaluit, Nunavut

Did you mean: Iqaluit Airport, Nunavut, Canada?

Aurora Visibility0Poor
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Kp: 1.33 | Bz: 1.27

Prediction18Little to None

Best Viewing Window: 6:28 AM – 6:33 AM EDT (0h 5m) · peak hours typically 10:13 PM – 2:13 AM

Bz 1.27 nT Aurora Weak Nautical Twilight Overcast · 93% Prediction 18 · Little to None Waxing Crescent 5% Color Key
Good Viewing Locations Nearby Sylvia Grinnell Territorial Park 1 km Apex 5 km
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Space Weather Now

Kp (now)
1.33
Forecast Kp (today)
5
Bz (nT)
1.27
HPI
12 Low · 24 GW
Dst (nT)
-12
Density (p/cc)
8.7
Speed (km/s)
493
Sky / Darkness
Overcast Nautical Twilight
Sunspot Number
93

Timing: Now · Signal Strength: High

Webcam

No aurora cams nearby. Center on nearest camera (819 km away).

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3-Day Forecast for Iqaluit, Nunavut

Oct 13
Global: Active Iqaluit: Likely overhead

Kp 4 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Iqaluit, not just low on the northern horizon.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 11:00 PM–2:00 AM EDT

35% chance of elevated activity · Kp 4 during viewing window

Oct 14
Global: Active Iqaluit: Likely overhead

Kp 3.3 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Iqaluit, not just low on the northern horizon.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 11:00 PM–2:00 AM EDT

20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.33 during viewing window

Oct 15
Global: Quiet Iqaluit: Likely overhead

Kp 2.3 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Iqaluit, not just low on the northern horizon.

Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.

Best time to look up: 5:00 PM–8:00 PM EDT

20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 2.33 during viewing window

Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun

Aurora Probability
LowHigh

Interactive Aurora Globe

North America Satellite

Satellite View

sunspots

Sunspots

Current sunspot number: 93

Coronal Mass Ejection

Coronal Mass Ejections

Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)

Bt
9.4 nT
Bx
3.5 nT
By
-8.6 nT
Bz
1.27 nT
Clock Angle θ
7.8°
Cone Angle φ
292.1°
Speed
493 km/s
Density
8.7 p/cc

IMF Detail (GSE) & Source

Bx
3.5 nT
By
-8 nT
Bz
-3.4 nT
θ Angle
-21.2°
φ Angle
293.6°
Satellite
SOLAR-1
Data Quality
Good
Reading Time
Oct 13, 6:20 AM EDT

Geomagnetic Indices

Kp (now)
1.33
Dst
-12 nT
HPI
12 GW
Sunspot Number
93

Aurora Model

Ovation Value
9
Ovation Label
Weak
Model Data Time
Oct 13, 7:10 AM EDT
Ovation Data
Live

Scores & Ratings

Aurora Visibility
0 · Poor
Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
0 · Poor
Prediction Score
18 · Little to None

Sky & Location

Cloud Cover
93% · Overcast
Clouds, Next Dark Window
100% · Overcast · ×0.05
Aurora Visibility Tonight
2 · Poor (Outlook Tonight 31 × cloud 0.05)
Solar Elevation
-6.1° · Nautical Twilight
Moon Phase
Waxing Crescent
Moon Illumination
5%
Moon Altitude
-33.6° · Below Horizon
Latitude
63.74697
Longitude
-68.51727
Geomagnetic Latitude
73.1°
Horizon Threshold
Kp 1
Overhead Threshold
Kp 1

Prediction Model Inputs

Bz Persistence (60min)
-0 nT
Newell Coupling
5577
Latitude Gate
1.00 now · 1.00 tonight (horizon Kp 0)
Dynamic Pressure
3.5 nPa
Storm Watch (CME)
~0h · G1 (Minor)
Watch Predicted Kp
5

Timing & Signal Strength

Timing
Now
Signal Strength
High
L1 Delay
~51 min
Magnetic Midnight
12:13 AM (peak hours 10:13 PM – 2:13 AM)
Best Viewing Window
6:28 AM – 6:33 AM EDT (0h 5m)

3-Day Kp Forecast

EDT Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15
8:00 PM–11:00 PM 4 3.67 2.67
11:00 PM–2:00 AM 4.67 4 3.33
2:00 AM–5:00 AM 5 2.67 3
5:00 AM–8:00 AM 4.33 3.67 2.33
8:00 AM–11:00 AM 4 3.67 1.67
11:00 AM–2:00 PM 3.67 3.67 1
2:00 PM–5:00 PM 3.33 3.33 1.33
5:00 PM–8:00 PM 2.67 2.67 2.33
Max 5 4 3.33
Ap Index 28 20 10

Storm Probability

Level Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15
Active 35% 35% 20%
Minor storm 35% 25% 5%
Moderate storm 15% 10% 1%
Strong-Extreme storm 5% 1% 1%

Planetary K-index

Oct 10
Oct 11
Oct 12
Oct 13
Now
Oct 12
Oct 13
Oct 14
Oct 15
Quiet (Kp 0-3) Unsettled (Kp 4) Minor-Moderate Storm (Kp 5-6) Strong+ Storm (Kp 7-9) Forecast (hatched)

Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz0.7 nT now

17 0 -12 Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM Oct 13, 6 AM

Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.

Total IMF Field Bt9.8 nT now

18 0 Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM Oct 13, 6 AM

Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.

Global Storm Trend24 global now

100 50 0 Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM Oct 13, 6 AM

Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.

Dst History-12 nT now

27 0 -57 Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM Oct 13, 6 AM

Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.

Solar Wind Speed & Pressure

Oct 12, 6 AM Oct 12, 12 PM Oct 12, 6 PM Oct 13, 12 AM Oct 13, 6 AM
Speed: 488 km/s now Pressure: 3.9 nPa now

Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.

Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.


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