Aurora Forecast and Prediction for Hartford City, Indiana

Aurora Visibility0Poor
0123456789

Kp: 0 | Bz: 1.93

Prediction0Little to None

Best Viewing Window: 11:11 PM – 7:26 AM EDT (8h 15m) · peak hours typically 11:36 PM – 3:36 AM

Bz 1.93 nT Aurora None Dark Night Overcast · 100% Prediction 0 · Little to None Waxing Crescent 15% Color Key
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Space Weather Now

Kp (now)
0
Forecast Kp (today)
3.33
Bz (nT)
1.93
HPI
12 Low · 24 GW
Dst (nT)
-17
Density (p/cc)
4
Speed (km/s)
496
Sky / Darkness
Overcast Dark Night
Sunspot Number
124

Timing: Now · Signal Strength: High

Webcam

No aurora cams nearby. Center on nearest camera (796 mi away).

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3-Day Forecast for Hartford City, Indiana

Oct 14
Global: Active Hartford City: Not expected

Kp 3.3 is short of the roughly Kp 7 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from Hartford City.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 11:00 PM–2:00 AM EDT

25% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.33 during viewing window

Oct 15
Global: Quiet Hartford City: Not expected

Kp 2.7 is short of the roughly Kp 7 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from Hartford City.

Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.

Best time to look up: 11:00 PM–2:00 AM EDT

20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 2.67 during viewing window

Oct 16
Global: Quiet Hartford City: Not expected

Kp 1.7 is short of the roughly Kp 7 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from Hartford City.

Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.

Best time to look up: 8:00 PM–11:00 PM EDT

15% chance of elevated activity · Kp 1.67 during viewing window

Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun

Aurora Probability
LowHigh

Interactive Aurora Globe

North America Satellite

Satellite View

sunspots

Sunspots

Current sunspot number: 124

Coronal Mass Ejection

Coronal Mass Ejections

Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)

Bt
5.5 nT
Bx
3.1 nT
By
-4.2 nT
Bz
1.93 nT
Clock Angle θ
20.5°
Cone Angle φ
306.4°
Speed
496 km/s
Density
4 p/cc

IMF Detail (GSE) & Source

Bx
3.1 nT
By
-4.6 nT
Bz
0.5 nT
θ Angle
5.5°
φ Angle
303.9°
Satellite
SOLAR-1
Data Quality
Good
Reading Time
Oct 14, 11:06 PM EDT

Geomagnetic Indices

Kp (now)
0
Dst
-17 nT
HPI
12 GW
Sunspot Number
124

Aurora Model

Ovation Value
0
Ovation Label
None
Model Data Time
Oct 14, 11:54 PM EDT
Ovation Data
Live

Scores & Ratings

Aurora Visibility
0 · Poor
Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
0 · Poor
Prediction Score
0 · Little to None

Sky & Location

Cloud Cover
100% · Overcast
Clouds, Next Dark Window
80% · Scattered · ×0.50
Aurora Visibility Tonight
0 · Poor (Outlook Tonight 0 × cloud 0.50)
Solar Elevation
-46.1° · Dark Night
Moon Phase
Waxing Crescent
Moon Illumination
15%
Moon Altitude
-20.6° · Below Horizon
Latitude
40.45115
Longitude
-85.36997
Geomagnetic Latitude
49.5°
Horizon Threshold
Kp 7
Overhead Threshold
Never

Prediction Model Inputs

Bz Persistence (60min)
1.4 nT
Newell Coupling
2362
Latitude Gate
0.00 now · 0.00 tonight (horizon Kp 7.3)
Dynamic Pressure
1.6 nPa
Storm Watch (CME)
—
Watch Predicted Kp
—

Timing & Signal Strength

Timing
Now
Signal Strength
High
L1 Delay
~50 min
Magnetic Midnight
1:36 AM (peak hours 11:36 PM – 3:36 AM)
Best Viewing Window
11:11 PM – 7:26 AM EDT (8h 15m)

3-Day Kp Forecast

EDT Oct 15 Oct 16 Oct 17
8:00 PM–11:00 PM 2.67 2.33 1.67
11:00 PM–2:00 AM 3.33 2.67 1.67
2:00 AM–5:00 AM 3 2 1.33
5:00 AM–8:00 AM 2.33 1.67 1.33
8:00 AM–11:00 AM 1.67 1.67 1.33
11:00 AM–2:00 PM 1 2 1.33
2:00 PM–5:00 PM 1.33 2 1.33
5:00 PM–8:00 PM 2.33 2.67 1.67
Max 3.33 2.67 1.67
Ap Index 10 8 5

Storm Probability

Level Oct 15 Oct 16 Oct 17
Active 25% 20% 15%
Minor storm 5% 1% 1%
Moderate storm 1% 1% 1%
Strong-Extreme storm 1% 1% 1%

Planetary K-index

Oct 11
Oct 12
Oct 13
Oct 14
Now
Oct 15
Oct 16
Oct 17
Quiet (Kp 0-3) Unsettled (Kp 4) Minor-Moderate Storm (Kp 5-6) Strong+ Storm (Kp 7-9) Forecast (hatched)

Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz1.8 nT now

12 0 -12 Oct 13, 11 PM Oct 14, 5 AM Oct 14, 11 AM Oct 14, 5 PM Oct 14, 11 PM

Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.

Total IMF Field Bt5.5 nT now

8 0 Oct 13, 11 PM Oct 14, 5 AM Oct 14, 11 AM Oct 14, 5 PM Oct 14, 11 PM

Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.

Global Storm Trend19 global now

100 50 0 Oct 13, 11 PM Oct 14, 5 AM Oct 14, 11 AM Oct 14, 5 PM Oct 14, 11 PM

Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.

Dst History-17 nT now

27 0 -57 Oct 13, 11 PM Oct 14, 5 AM Oct 14, 11 AM Oct 14, 5 PM Oct 14, 11 PM

Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.

Solar Wind Speed & Pressure

Oct 13, 11 PM Oct 14, 5 AM Oct 14, 11 AM Oct 14, 5 PM Oct 14, 11 PM
Speed: 499 km/s now Pressure: 1.7 nPa now

Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.

Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.

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