Aurora Forecast and Prediction for Kuusamo, North Ostrobothnia, Finland

Did you mean: Kuusamonkylä, Kainuu, Finland?

Aurora Visibility0Poor
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Kp: 1.33 | Bz: 1.27

Prediction28Weak Activity

Best Viewing Window: 18:38 – 07:08 EEST (12h 30m) · peak hours typically 21:43 – 01:43

Bz 1.27 nT Aurora None Daytime Clouds Unknown Prediction 28 · Weak Activity Waxing Crescent 5% Color Key
Good Viewing Locations Nearby Ruka 28 km Oulanka National Park 60 km
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Space Weather Now

Kp (now)
1.33
Forecast Kp (today)
5
Bz (nT)
1.27
HPI
12 Low · 24 GW
Dst (nT)
-12
Density (p/cc)
8.7
Speed (km/s)
493
Sky / Darkness
Clouds Unknown Daytime
Sunspot Number
93

Timing: Tonight · Signal Strength: Low

Webcam

3-Day Forecast for Kuusamo, North Ostrobothnia, Finland

Oct 13
Global: Active Kuusamo: Likely overhead

Kp 3.7 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Kuusamo, not just low on the northern horizon.

Global: NOAA has issued a watch for this night (see below) - moderate planetary activity, aurora across the high-latitude zone.

CME Watch: G1 (Minor) · Kp 5 expected

Best time to look up: 18:00–21:00 EEST

35% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.67 during viewing window, up to Kp 5 depending on CME timing

Oct 14
Global: Active Kuusamo: Likely overhead

Kp 3.7 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Kuusamo, not just low on the northern horizon.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 18:00–21:00 EEST

35% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.67 during viewing window

Oct 15
Global: Quiet Kuusamo: Possible

Kp 2.3 clears the roughly Kp 1 Kuusamo needs - aurora possible low on the northern horizon under dark, clear skies.

Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.

Best time to look up: 00:00–03:00 EEST

20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 2.33 during viewing window

Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun

Aurora Probability
LowHigh

Interactive Aurora Globe

Europe Satellite

Satellite View

sunspots

Sunspots

Current sunspot number: 93

Coronal Mass Ejection

Coronal Mass Ejections

Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)

Bt
9.4 nT
Bx
3.5 nT
By
-8.6 nT
Bz
1.27 nT
Clock Angle θ
7.8°
Cone Angle φ
292.1°
Speed
493 km/s
Density
8.7 p/cc

IMF Detail (GSE) & Source

Bx
3.5 nT
By
-8 nT
Bz
-3.4 nT
θ Angle
-21.2°
φ Angle
293.6°
Satellite
SOLAR-1
Data Quality
Good
Reading Time
Oct 13, 13:20 EEST

Geomagnetic Indices

Kp (now)
1.33
Dst
-12 nT
HPI
12 GW
Sunspot Number
93

Aurora Model

Ovation Value
0
Ovation Label
None
Model Data Time
Oct 13, 14:10 EEST
Ovation Data
Live

Scores & Ratings

Aurora Visibility
0 · Poor
Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
0 · Poor
Prediction Score
28 · Weak Activity

Sky & Location

Cloud Cover
— · Unknown
Clouds, Next Dark Window
—
Aurora Visibility Tonight
— (no dark-window cloud forecast)
Solar Elevation
15.8° · Daytime
Moon Phase
Waxing Crescent
Moon Illumination
5%
Moon Altitude
-1° · Below Horizon
Latitude
65.96447
Longitude
29.18878
Geomagnetic Latitude
62.6°
Horizon Threshold
Kp 1
Overhead Threshold
Kp 3

Prediction Model Inputs

Bz Persistence (60min)
-0 nT
Newell Coupling
5577
Latitude Gate
1.00 now · 1.00 tonight (horizon Kp 1)
Dynamic Pressure
3.5 nPa
Storm Watch (CME)
~0h · G1 (Minor)
Watch Predicted Kp
5

Timing & Signal Strength

Timing
Tonight
Signal Strength
Low
L1 Delay
~51 min
Magnetic Midnight
23:43 (peak hours 21:43 – 01:43)
Best Viewing Window
18:38 – 07:08 EEST (12h 30m)

3-Day Kp Forecast

EEST Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15
03:00–06:00 4 3.67 2.67
06:00–09:00 4.67 4 3.33
09:00–12:00 5 2.67 3
12:00–15:00 4.33 3.67 2.33
15:00–18:00 4 3.67 1.67
18:00–21:00 3.67 3.67 1
21:00–00:00 3.33 3.33 1.33
00:00–03:00 2.67 2.67 2.33
Max 5 4 3.33
Ap Index 28 20 10

Storm Probability

Level Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15
Active 35% 35% 20%
Minor storm 35% 25% 5%
Moderate storm 15% 10% 1%
Strong-Extreme storm 5% 1% 1%

Planetary K-index

Oct 10
Oct 11
Oct 12
Oct 13
Now
Oct 14
Oct 15
Oct 16
Quiet (Kp 0-3) Unsettled (Kp 4) Minor-Moderate Storm (Kp 5-6) Strong+ Storm (Kp 7-9) Forecast (hatched)

Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz0.7 nT now

17 0 -12 Oct 12, 1 PM Oct 12, 7 PM Oct 13, 1 AM Oct 13, 7 AM Oct 13, 1 PM

Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.

Total IMF Field Bt9.8 nT now

18 0 Oct 12, 1 PM Oct 12, 7 PM Oct 13, 1 AM Oct 13, 7 AM Oct 13, 1 PM

Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.

Global Storm Trend24 global now

100 50 0 Oct 12, 1 PM Oct 12, 7 PM Oct 13, 1 AM Oct 13, 7 AM Oct 13, 1 PM

Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.

Dst History-12 nT now

27 0 -57 Oct 12, 1 PM Oct 12, 7 PM Oct 13, 1 AM Oct 13, 7 AM Oct 13, 1 PM

Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.

Solar Wind Speed & Pressure

Oct 12, 1 PM Oct 12, 7 PM Oct 13, 1 AM Oct 13, 7 AM Oct 13, 1 PM
Speed: 488 km/s now Pressure: 3.9 nPa now

Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.

Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.


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