Aurora Forecast and Prediction for Sisimiut Airport, Qeqqata
Kp: 0 | Bz: -1.24
Best Viewing Window: 8:06 PM – 8:41 AM -01 (12h 35m) · peak hours typically 11:41 PM – 3:41 AM
Best Viewing Window:
8:06 PM – 8:41 AM -01 Space Weather Now
Timing: Tonight · Signal Strength: Low
3-Day Forecast for Sisimiut Airport, Qeqqata
Oct 14
Kp 3.3 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Sisimiut Airport, not just low on the northern horizon.
Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.
Best time to look up: 8:00 PM–11:00 PM -01
20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.33 during viewing window
Oct 15
Kp 2.3 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Sisimiut Airport, not just low on the northern horizon.
Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.
Best time to look up: 8:00 PM–11:00 PM -01
15% chance of elevated activity · Kp 2.33 during viewing window
Oct 16
Kp 1.3 is right around the roughly Kp 1 Sisimiut Airport needs - a borderline night, worth a look to the north.
Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.
Best time to look up: 8:00 PM–11:00 PM -01
15% chance of elevated activity · Kp 1.33 during viewing window
Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun
Interactive Aurora Globe
Satellite View
Sunspots
Current sunspot number: 102
Coronal Mass Ejections
Aurora Photography by Todd Salat
Original prints from Todd Salat's collection.
Blood Moon
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Catch of the Day
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Denali Spectacle
Denali Viewpoint South, Alaska · 2023
Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)
- Bt
- 4.2 nT
- Bx
- -2 nT
- By
- -3.4 nT
- Bz
- -1.24 nT
- Clock Angle θ
- -17.4°
- Cone Angle φ
- 239.5°
- Speed
- 566 km/s
- Density
- 3.4 p/cc
IMF Detail (GSE) & Source
- Bx
- -2 nT
- By
- -2.3 nT
- Bz
- -2.8 nT
- θ Angle
- -42.7°
- φ Angle
- 228.6°
- Satellite
- SOLAR-1
- Data Quality
- Good
- Reading Time
- Oct 14, 9:09 AM -01
Geomagnetic Indices
- Kp (now)
- 0
- Dst
- -11 nT
- HPI
- 9 GW
- Sunspot Number
- 102
Aurora Model
- Ovation Value
- 7
- Ovation Label
- Weak
- Model Data Time
- Oct 14, 9:54 AM -01
- Ovation Data
- Live
Scores & Ratings
- Aurora Visibility
- 0 · Poor
- Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
- 0 · Poor
- Prediction Score
- 25 · Weak Activity
Sky & Location
- Cloud Cover
- 99% · Overcast
- Clouds, Next Dark Window
- 80% · Scattered · ×0.50
- Aurora Visibility Tonight
- 13 · Poor (Outlook Tonight 25 × cloud 0.50)
- Solar Elevation
- -2.2° · Civil Twilight
- Moon Phase
- Waxing Crescent
- Moon Illumination
- 10%
- Moon Altitude
- -35.2° · Below Horizon
- Latitude
- 66.9515
- Longitude
- -53.72263
- Geomagnetic Latitude
- 75.5°
- Horizon Threshold
- Kp 1
- Overhead Threshold
- Kp 1
Prediction Model Inputs
- Bz Persistence (60min)
- -0.9 nT
- Newell Coupling
- 7164
- Latitude Gate
- 1.00 now · 1.00 tonight (horizon Kp 0)
- Dynamic Pressure
- 1.8 nPa
- Storm Watch (CME)
- —
- Watch Predicted Kp
- —
Timing & Signal Strength
- Timing
- Tonight
- Signal Strength
- Low
- L1 Delay
- ~44 min
- Magnetic Midnight
- 1:41 AM (peak hours 11:41 PM – 3:41 AM)
- Best Viewing Window
- 8:06 PM – 8:41 AM -01 (12h 35m)
3-Day Kp Forecast
| -01 | Oct 14 | Oct 15 | Oct 16 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 PM–2:00 AM | 3.67 | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| 2:00 AM–5:00 AM | 3.33 | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| 5:00 AM–8:00 AM | 3.67 | 3 | 1.33 |
| 8:00 AM–11:00 AM | 2.67 | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| 11:00 AM–2:00 PM | 2.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 2:00 PM–5:00 PM | 3.33 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 5:00 PM–8:00 PM | 3.33 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| 8:00 PM–11:00 PM | 3.33 | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Max | 3.67 | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| Ap Index | 18 | 10 | 5 |
Storm Probability
| Level | Oct 14 | Oct 15 | Oct 16 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 5% | 1% |
| Moderate storm | 10% | 1% | 1% |
| Strong-Extreme storm | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Planetary K-index
Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz-1.8 nT now
Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.
Total IMF Field Bt4.2 nT now
Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.
Global Storm Trend23 global now
Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.
Dst History-11 nT now
Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.
Solar Wind Speed & Pressure
Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.
Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.
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