Aurora Forecast and Prediction for Kelowna, British Columbia
Did you mean: Kelowna International Airport, British Columbia, Canada?
Kp: 0.33 | Bz: -3.41
Best Viewing Window: 6:43 PM – 6:53 AM PDT (12h 10m) · peak hours typically 11:18 PM – 3:18 AM
Best Viewing Window:
6:43 PM – 6:53 AM PDT Space Weather Now
Timing: Tonight · Signal Strength: High
Webcam
No aurora cams nearby. Center on nearest camera (683 km away).
Browse other webcams on Windy3-Day Forecast for Kelowna, British Columbia
Oct 15
Kp 2.7 is short of the roughly Kp 4 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from Kelowna.
Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.
Best time to look up: 8:00 PM–11:00 PM PDT
20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 2.67 during viewing window
Oct 16
Kp 1.7 is short of the roughly Kp 4 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from Kelowna.
Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.
Best time to look up: 8:00 PM–11:00 PM PDT
15% chance of elevated activity · Kp 1.67 during viewing window
Oct 17
Global: This night's forecast isn't in NOAA's 3-day window yet - check back closer to the date.
This night's forecast isn't available yet - check back closer to the date.
Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun
Interactive Aurora Globe
Satellite View
Sunspots
Current sunspot number: 124
Coronal Mass Ejections
Aurora Photography by Todd Salat
Original prints from Todd Salat's collection.
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Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)
- Bt
- 5.1 nT
- Bx
- 2.2 nT
- By
- -0.6 nT
- Bz
- -3.41 nT
- Clock Angle θ
- -42.3°
- Cone Angle φ
- 114.4°
- Speed
- 476 km/s
- Density
- 2.5 p/cc
IMF Detail (GSE) & Source
- Bx
- 2.2 nT
- By
- 0.8 nT
- Bz
- -3.4 nT
- θ Angle
- -42.2°
- φ Angle
- 122.8°
- Satellite
- SOLAR-1
- Data Quality
- Good
- Reading Time
- Oct 15, 9:03 AM PDT
Geomagnetic Indices
- Kp (now)
- 0.33
- Dst
- -21 nT
- HPI
- 15 GW
- Sunspot Number
- 124
Aurora Model
- Ovation Value
- 0
- Ovation Label
- None
- Model Data Time
- Oct 15, 9:52 AM PDT
- Ovation Data
- Live
Scores & Ratings
- Aurora Visibility
- 0 · Poor
- Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
- 0 · Poor
- Prediction Score
- 5 · Little to None
Sky & Location
- Cloud Cover
- 5% · Clear
- Clouds, Next Dark Window
- 57% · Scattered · ×0.50
- Aurora Visibility Tonight
- 3 · Poor (Outlook Tonight 5 × cloud 0.50)
- Solar Elevation
- 15.1° · Daytime
- Moon Phase
- Waxing Crescent
- Moon Illumination
- 19%
- Moon Altitude
- -34.8° · Below Horizon
- Latitude
- 49.88307
- Longitude
- -119.48568
- Geomagnetic Latitude
- 55.7°
- Horizon Threshold
- Kp 4
- Overhead Threshold
- Kp 6
Prediction Model Inputs
- Bz Persistence (60min)
- -2.5 nT
- Newell Coupling
- 10901
- Latitude Gate
- 0.00 now · 0.19 tonight (horizon Kp 4.3)
- Dynamic Pressure
- 0.9 nPa
- Storm Watch (CME)
- —
- Watch Predicted Kp
- —
Timing & Signal Strength
- Timing
- Tonight
- Signal Strength
- High
- L1 Delay
- ~53 min
- Magnetic Midnight
- 1:18 AM (peak hours 11:18 PM – 3:18 AM)
- Best Viewing Window
- 6:43 PM – 6:53 AM PDT (12h 10m)
3-Day Kp Forecast
| PDT | Oct 15 | Oct 16 | Oct 17 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:00 PM–8:00 PM | 2.67 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| 8:00 PM–11:00 PM | 3.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| 11:00 PM–2:00 AM | 3 | 2 | 1.33 |
| 2:00 AM–5:00 AM | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 5:00 AM–8:00 AM | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| 8:00 AM–11:00 AM | 1 | 2 | 1.33 |
| 11:00 AM–2:00 PM | 1.33 | 2 | 1.33 |
| 2:00 PM–5:00 PM | 2.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| Max | 3.33 | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| Ap Index | 10 | 8 | 5 |
Storm Probability
| Level | Oct 15 | Oct 16 | Oct 17 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| Moderate storm | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Strong-Extreme storm | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Planetary K-index
Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz-4 nT now
Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.
Total IMF Field Bt5.1 nT now
Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.
Global Storm Trend34 global now
Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.
Dst History-21 nT now
Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.
Solar Wind Speed & Pressure
Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.
Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.
Aurora Forecasts for Nearby Cities
Checking conditions somewhere else tonight? These are the closest cities with their own northern lights prediction.
- Kamloops 105 km
- Bellingham 251 km
- Surrey 256 km
- Burnaby 259 km
- Vancouver 271 km
- Sandpoint 278 km
- Spokane 290 km
- Everett 290 km
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