Aurora Outlook and Prediction for London, Ontario

Did you mean: London, England, United Kingdom?

Aurora Visibility0Poor
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Kp: 0 | Bz: 1.35

Prediction0Little to None

Best Viewing Window: 5:14 AM – 6:39 AM EDT (1h 25m) · peak hours typically 11:29 PM – 3:29 AM

Bz 1.35 nT Aurora None Dark Night Clear · 2% Prediction 0 · Little to None Waxing Crescent 31% Color Key
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Space Weather Now

Kp (now)
0
Forecast Kp (today)
4.67
Bz (nT)
1.35
HPI
7 Minimal · 13 GW
Dst (nT)
-4
Density (p/cc)
3.3
Speed (km/s)
471
Sky / Darkness
Clear Dark Night
Sunspot Number
23

Timing: Now · Signal Strength: High

Webcam

No aurora cams nearby. Center on nearest camera (848 km away).

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3-Day Forecast for London, Ontario

Sep 16
Global: Active London: Not expected

Kp 3.3 is short of the roughly Kp 6 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from London.

Global: NOAA has issued a watch for this night (see below) - moderate planetary activity, aurora across the high-latitude zone.

CME Watch: G1 (Minor) · Kp 5 expected

Best time to look up: 5:00 AM–8:00 AM EDT

35% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.33 during viewing window, up to Kp 5 depending on CME timing

Sep 17
Global: Active London: Not expected

Kp 3.7 is short of the roughly Kp 6 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from London.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 8:00 PM–11:00 PM EDT

35% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.67 during viewing window

Sep 18
Global: Quiet London: Not expected

Kp 2.7 is short of the roughly Kp 6 the aurora needs to clear the northern horizon from London.

Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.

Best time to look up: 8:00 PM–11:00 PM EDT

20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 2.67 during viewing window

Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun

Aurora Probability
LowHigh

Interactive Aurora Globe

North America Satellite

Satellite View

sunspots

Sunspots

Current sunspot number: 23

Coronal Mass Ejection

Coronal Mass Ejections

Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)

Bt
4.2 nT
Bx
3.9 nT
By
0.7 nT
Bz
1.35 nT
Clock Angle θ
18.7°
Cone Angle φ
10.1°
Speed
471 km/s
Density
3.3 p/cc

IMF Detail (GSE) & Source

Bx
3.9 nT
By
-0.1 nT
Bz
1.5 nT
θ Angle
20.6°
φ Angle
348°
Satellite
SOLAR-1
Data Quality
Good
Reading Time
Sep 17, 5:08 AM EDT

Geomagnetic Indices

Kp (now)
0
Dst
-4 nT
HPI
7 GW
Sunspot Number
23

Aurora Model

Ovation Value
0
Ovation Label
None
Model Data Time
Sep 17, 5:57 AM EDT
Ovation Data
Live

Scores & Ratings

Aurora Visibility
0 · Poor
Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
0 · Poor
Prediction Score
0 · Little to None

Sky & Location

Cloud Cover
2% · Clear
Clouds, Next Dark Window
5% · Clear · ×1.00
Aurora Visibility Tonight
10 · Poor (Outlook Tonight 10 × cloud 1.00)
Solar Elevation
-20.7° · Dark Night
Moon Phase
Waxing Crescent
Moon Illumination
31%
Moon Altitude
-71° · Below Horizon
Latitude
42.98339
Longitude
-81.23304
Geomagnetic Latitude
52.2°
Horizon Threshold
Kp 6
Overhead Threshold
Kp 8

Prediction Model Inputs

Bz Persistence (60min)
1.7 nT
Newell Coupling
205
Latitude Gate
0.00 now · 0.50 tonight (horizon Kp 6)
Dynamic Pressure
1.2 nPa
Storm Watch (CME)
~0h · G1 (Minor)
Watch Predicted Kp
5

Timing & Signal Strength

Timing
Now
Signal Strength
High
L1 Delay
~53 min
Magnetic Midnight
1:29 AM (peak hours 11:29 PM – 3:29 AM)
Best Viewing Window
5:14 AM – 6:39 AM EDT (1h 25m)

3-Day Kp Forecast

EDT Sep 17 Sep 18 Sep 19
8:00 PM–11:00 PM 4 3.67 2.67
11:00 PM–2:00 AM 4.67 2 2
2:00 AM–5:00 AM 3.67 2 2.33
5:00 AM–8:00 AM 3.33 2.67 2.33
8:00 AM–11:00 AM 3.33 2.67 2.33
11:00 AM–2:00 PM 3.33 2.67 2.33
2:00 PM–5:00 PM 3.33 2.67 2.33
5:00 PM–8:00 PM 3.33 3 2.67
Max 4.67 3.67 2.67
Ap Index 22 12 10

Storm Probability

Level Sep 17 Sep 18 Sep 19
Active 35% 35% 20%
Minor storm 45% 20% 5%
Moderate storm 10% 5% 1%
Strong-Extreme storm 1% 1% 1%

Planetary K-index

Sep 14
Sep 15
Sep 16
Now
Sep 17
Sep 18
Sep 19
Quiet (Kp 0-3) Unsettled (Kp 4) Minor-Moderate Storm (Kp 5-6) Strong+ Storm (Kp 7-9) Forecast (hatched)

Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz1.9 nT now

12 0 -12 Sep 16, 5 AM Sep 16, 11 AM Sep 16, 5 PM Sep 16, 11 PM Sep 17, 5 AM

Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.

Total IMF Field Bt4.3 nT now

8 0 Sep 16, 5 AM Sep 16, 11 AM Sep 16, 5 PM Sep 16, 11 PM Sep 17, 5 AM

Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.

Global Storm Trend20 global now

100 50 0 Sep 16, 5 AM Sep 16, 11 AM Sep 16, 5 PM Sep 16, 11 PM Sep 17, 5 AM

Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.

Dst History-4 nT now

27 0 -57 Sep 16, 5 AM Sep 16, 11 AM Sep 16, 5 PM Sep 16, 11 PM Sep 17, 5 AM

Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.

Solar Wind Speed & Pressure

Sep 16, 5 AM Sep 16, 11 AM Sep 16, 5 PM Sep 16, 11 PM Sep 17, 5 AM
Speed: 496 km/s now Pressure: 1.6 nPa now

Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.

Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.


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