Aurora Forecast and Prediction for Rankin Inlet Airport, Nunavut

Aurora Visibility0Poor
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Kp: 0.33 | Bz: 1.4

Prediction15Little to None

Best Viewing Window: 6:45 PM – 7:10 AM CDT (12h 25m) · peak hours typically 11:30 PM – 3:30 AM

Bz 1.4 nT Aurora None Daytime Overcast · 86% Tonight 1 · Poor · Overcast 99% Prediction 15 · Little to None Waxing Crescent 12% Color Key
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Space Weather Now

Kp (now)
0.33
Forecast Kp (today)
3.67
Bz (nT)
1.4
HPI
7 Minimal · 13 GW
Dst (nT)
-8
Density (p/cc)
3.1
Speed (km/s)
509
Sky / Darkness
Overcast Daytime
Sunspot Number
102

Timing: Tonight · Signal Strength: High

Webcam

3-Day Forecast for Rankin Inlet Airport, Nunavut

Oct 14
Global: Active Rankin Inlet Airport: Likely overhead

Kp 3.3 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Rankin Inlet Airport, not just low on the northern horizon.

Global: Moderate planetary activity expected - aurora across the high-latitude zone, and lower with a good substorm.

Best time to look up: 10:00 PM–1:00 AM CDT

20% chance of elevated activity · Kp 3.33 during viewing window

Oct 15
Global: Quiet Rankin Inlet Airport: Likely overhead

Kp 1.7 is enough to bring the aurora high overhead at Rankin Inlet Airport, not just low on the northern horizon.

Global: Quiet planetary conditions expected - aurora mostly confined to the far north.

Best time to look up: 7:00 PM–10:00 PM CDT

15% chance of elevated activity · Kp 1.67 during viewing window

Oct 16
Global: Forecast Pending

Global: This night's forecast isn't in NOAA's 3-day window yet - check back closer to the date.

This night's forecast isn't available yet - check back closer to the date.

Aurora Oval & Satellite & Sun

Aurora Probability
LowHigh

Interactive Aurora Globe

North America Satellite

Satellite View

sunspots

Sunspots

Current sunspot number: 102

Coronal Mass Ejection

Coronal Mass Ejections

Solar Wind & IMF (GSM)

Bt
4.4 nT
Bx
3.9 nT
By
1.5 nT
Bz
1.4 nT
Clock Angle θ
18.7°
Cone Angle φ
20.9°
Speed
509 km/s
Density
3.1 p/cc

IMF Detail (GSE) & Source

Bx
3.9 nT
By
0.7 nT
Bz
1.9 nT
θ Angle
25.5°
φ Angle
10.8°
Satellite
SOLAR-1
Data Quality
Good
Reading Time
Oct 14, 10:19 AM CDT

Geomagnetic Indices

Kp (now)
0.33
Dst
-8 nT
HPI
7 GW
Sunspot Number
102

Aurora Model

Ovation Value
2
Ovation Label
None
Model Data Time
Oct 14, 11:09 AM CDT
Ovation Data
Live

Scores & Ratings

Aurora Visibility
0 · Poor
Aurora Visibility (w/ Moon)
0 · Poor
Prediction Score
15 · Little to None

Sky & Location

Cloud Cover
86% · Overcast
Clouds, Next Dark Window
99% · Overcast · ×0.05
Aurora Visibility Tonight
1 · Poor (Outlook Tonight 15 × cloud 0.05)
Solar Elevation
13.4° · Daytime
Moon Phase
Waxing Crescent
Moon Illumination
12%
Moon Altitude
-20.3° · Below Horizon
Latitude
62.81027
Longitude
-92.11332
Geomagnetic Latitude
71.4°
Horizon Threshold
Kp 1
Overhead Threshold
Kp 1

Prediction Model Inputs

Bz Persistence (60min)
1.4 nT
Newell Coupling
939
Latitude Gate
1.00 now · 1.00 tonight (horizon Kp 0)
Dynamic Pressure
1.3 nPa
Storm Watch (CME)
—
Watch Predicted Kp
—

Timing & Signal Strength

Timing
Tonight
Signal Strength
High
L1 Delay
~49 min
Magnetic Midnight
1:30 AM (peak hours 11:30 PM – 3:30 AM)
Best Viewing Window
6:45 PM – 7:10 AM CDT (12h 25m)

3-Day Kp Forecast

CDT Oct 14 Oct 15 Oct 16
7:00 PM–10:00 PM 3.67 2.67 1.67
10:00 PM–1:00 AM 3.33 3.33 1.67
1:00 AM–4:00 AM 3.67 3 1.33
4:00 AM–7:00 AM 2.67 2.33 1.33
7:00 AM–10:00 AM 2.67 1.67 1.33
10:00 AM–1:00 PM 3.33 1 1.33
1:00 PM–4:00 PM 3.33 1.33 1.67
4:00 PM–7:00 PM 3.33 2.33 1.33
Max 3.67 3.33 1.67
Ap Index 18 10 5

Storm Probability

Level Oct 14 Oct 15 Oct 16
Active 35% 20% 15%
Minor storm 25% 5% 1%
Moderate storm 10% 1% 1%
Strong-Extreme storm 1% 1% 1%

Planetary K-index

Oct 11
Oct 12
Oct 13
Oct 14
Now
Oct 13
Oct 14
Oct 15
Oct 16
Quiet (Kp 0-3) Unsettled (Kp 4) Minor-Moderate Storm (Kp 5-6) Strong+ Storm (Kp 7-9) Forecast (hatched)

Interplanetary Magnetic Field Bz1.7 nT now

12 0 -12 Oct 13, 10 AM Oct 13, 4 PM Oct 13, 10 PM Oct 14, 4 AM Oct 14, 10 AM

Southward (negative) Bz favors aurora. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bz.

Total IMF Field Bt4.4 nT now

13 0 Oct 13, 10 AM Oct 13, 4 PM Oct 13, 10 PM Oct 14, 4 AM Oct 14, 10 AM

Total interplanetary magnetic field strength - the ceiling on how negative Bz can go. A rising Bt alongside a still-fluctuating Bz often leads a stronger southward turn. Observed data only, no forecast product exists for Bt.

Global Storm Trend11 global now

100 50 0 Oct 13, 10 AM Oct 13, 4 PM Oct 13, 10 PM Oct 14, 4 AM Oct 14, 10 AM

Global (hemisphere-wide, not this city) prediction score over the last 24 hours, logged every 5 minutes - may differ from the Prediction ring above, which is specific to this location and time of night. Red above 70, yellow 50-70, teal below 50 - same thresholds used everywhere else on this page. Dashed line is the overall trend.

Dst History-8 nT now

27 0 -57 Oct 13, 10 AM Oct 13, 4 PM Oct 13, 10 PM Oct 14, 4 AM Oct 14, 10 AM

Kyoto Dst geomagnetic storm index over the last 24 hours. Negative = ring-current energy stored = an active storm, not just predicted. Red below −50nT, yellow −20 to −50nT, teal above −20nT.

Solar Wind Speed & Pressure

Oct 13, 10 AM Oct 13, 4 PM Oct 13, 10 PM Oct 14, 4 AM Oct 14, 10 AM
Speed: 509 km/s now Pressure: 1.3 nPa now

Each line is scaled independently to its own 24h range (different units) - watch the shape, not a shared axis. A rising speed line or a pressure spike can signal an incoming stream or shock before Bz/Dst move.

Nerd Mode: See what’s really driving the score. Live solar wind, Bz, Kp, Dst, CME timing, and more. Data comes from NOAA SWPC and the Kyoto WDC, with a few metrics calculated here from the raw data. Live data refreshes every minute; trend charts every five.

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